West Bengal Opinion Poll 2026: Matrize and Chanakya polls show TMC ahead in Bengal with a narrow lead over BJP+, projecting a majority for the ruling party in a tight electoral contest.
Matrize and Chanakya polls for West Bengal indicate a close electoral contest, with the Trinamool Congress (TMC) holding a slight advantage over the BJP-led alliance. The surveys suggest that while the ruling party remains ahead, the margin is narrow, pointing to a competitive battle across constituencies. The polls also project a clear majority for TMC in the 294-seat Assembly, even as the BJP continues to pose a strong challenge. Smaller parties, meanwhile, appear to have limited electoral impact in the current scenario.
Vote Share Snapshot (Matrize)
- TMC: 43%
- BJP+: 41%
- Others: 16%
The vote share data underlines a neck-and-neck race, with only a marginal gap separating the two principal contenders. Analysts suggest that even small swings in voter sentiment could significantly alter the final outcome.